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October 20, 2010

Why Bill Clinton Is An Asset And Obama Is A Liability

By Armed Liberal at 05:17

Michael Gerson in the Washington Post
Obama clearly believes that his brand of politics represents "facts and science and argument." His opponents, in disturbing contrast, are using the more fearful, primitive portion of their brains. Obama views himself as the neocortical leader -- the defender, not just of the stimulus package and health-care reform but also of cognitive reasoning. His critics rely on their lizard brains -- the location of reptilian ritual and aggression. Some, presumably Democrats, rise above their evolutionary hard-wiring in times of social stress; others, sadly, do not.

Though there is plenty of competition, these are some of the most arrogant words ever uttered by an American president.

The neocortical presidency destroys the possibility of political dialogue. What could Obama possibly learn from voters who are embittered, confused and dominated by subconscious evolutionary fears? They have nothing to teach, nothing to offer to the superior mind. Instead of engaging in debate, Obama resorts to reductionism, explaining his opponents away.

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  • Marcus Vitruvius: And I think now we've gotten to the point where read more
  • alchemist: Everyone has little tricks they play on themselves, to tell read more
  • Marcus Vitruvius: Well, getting back to the original topic.... One thing I read more
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October 19, 2010

In Kansas, Just Plain Saving Energy

By Armed Liberal at 16:30

While Chris and I bicker in the comments, here's some positive news.

For years, I'm groused that all the focus in energy policy has been on the AGW boogeyman - a boogeyman whose existence lots of people (including me) doubt, and lots of people flatly don't believe in. Which made it an unproductive hook on which to hang changes in energy planning.

Someone got a cluebat, because here's an article in the NY Times today:
Ms. Jackson settled on a three-pronged strategy. Invoking the notion of thrift, she set out to persuade towns to compete with one another to become more energy-efficient. She worked with civic leaders to embrace green jobs as a way of shoring up or rescuing their communities. And she spoke with local ministers about "creation care," the obligation of Christians to act as stewards of the world that God gave them, even creating a sermon bank with talking points they could download.

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  • Chris: Glen, if we're going to play the money game, let's read more
  • Chris: Avatar- You seem to be living in an alternate reality read more
  • Glen Wishard: Chris:... but the number we actually came up with was read more

October 18, 2010

In Which I Get It Interestingly Wrong

By Armed Liberal at 01:06

Both of these are at about the same point in the development of the story:

Memeorandum October 14, 2:35pm

MemeorandumJarrett.jpg

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October 17, 2010

Robinson On Education

By Armed Liberal at 19:35

Via Zenpundit, here's a great illustrated lecture by Sir Ken Robinson about education. My own views tip slightly to the other direction - I do believe that some basic standard skills are necessary, and I'm uncomfortable tossing aside the "standard curriculum." But he makes several points in this that challenge my views, and require some serious thinking.


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  • Phil Smith: I found it interesting to listen to, but I had read more
  • LTEC: I find this video infuriating. Every single thing he says read more
  • Javert Freeman: Thank you for sharing that. read more

I Don't Know How I Missed This News - Mandelbrot Died Thursday

By Armed Liberal at 18:11

Mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot died in Cambridge, Mass on Thursday, the day I finished rereading his book The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial TurbulenceBERJAYA.

It's a damn good book, and the work he began in studying cotton prices back in 1961 has led to valuable insights - if not yet well-applied insights.

He saw simplicity where others just saw noise, and to me that is the true sign of genius.
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October 16, 2010

More On The Scientific Process - This One's For Chris

By Armed Liberal at 20:31

From an article by David Freeman in The Atlantic, (h/t Biggest Guy):
But beyond the headlines, Ioannidis was shocked at the range and reach of the reversals he was seeing in everyday medical research. "Randomized controlled trials," which compare how one group responds to a treatment against how an identical group fares without the treatment, had long been considered nearly unshakable evidence, but they, too, ended up being wrong some of the time. "I realized even our gold-standard research had a lot of problems," he says. Baffled, he started looking for the specific ways in which studies were going wrong. And before long he discovered that the range of errors being committed was astonishing: from what questions researchers posed, to how they set up the studies, to which patients they recruited for the studies, to which measurements they took, to how they analyzed the data, to how they presented their results, to how particular studies came to be published in medical journals.

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  • David Billington: Chris: "David, I'm all for saving the rain forests, but read more
  • mark buehner: Nuclear energy is the only real grown up way to read more
  • Chris: Ten days ago I posted a suggestion on another thread read more

October 14, 2010

One Of These Things...Oh, Heck - Two Pieces From The WaPo

By Armed Liberal at 04:44

Tuesday - Stephen Perlstein: Wage cuts hurt, but they may be the only way to get Americans back to work
There is, of course, a way out of this bind: produce more without consuming more. For all practical purposes, that means grabbing a bigger share of global markets, either by exporting more goods and services, or replacing some of the stuff we import by producing it at home.

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  • toc3: All pase. The entire problem with the economy, the banking read more
  • mark buehner: The economy is depressed because there is huge amounts of read more
  • Roland Nikles: The observation Perlstein makes about wages not being immediately responsive read more

You Know How Obama Isn't Out Front On That Whole Gay Thing? Maybe It Isn't Just Politics.

By Armed Liberal at 04:03

From the Petrelis Files, here's Valerie Jarrett talking to gay journo Jonathan Capehart:
Capeheart: One of the things you've put a spotlight on, and to veer sharply away from infrastructure, and that was on the rash of suicides of gay youth. You gave a speech to the Human Rights Campaign annual dinner, where you named the victims. You talked about the President's commitment to making a more inclusive, tolerant, accepting country. Why did you feel it was important to deliver that message, and deliver it there?

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  • Glen Wishard: BTW, regarding AL's "Maybe it isn't just politics" - it read more
  • toc3: Agree, why dance to another's fiddle read more
  • mark buehner: Fred, the Churches policy was to treat pedophilia as an read more

October 13, 2010

2/Charlie

By Armed Liberal at 00:32

My son's platoon, and their final patrol. From the Atlantic

I need to digest this a bit and then I'll write a bit more.
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  • Glen Wishard: Great article, and a great reminder of how much history read more

October 10, 2010

Why I Don't Automatically Bow To The Superior Wisdom Of Our Political Class

By Armed Liberal at 18:03

Apparently, a guy who managed to become a well-regarded GOP Congressional candidate has an interesting hobby - he dresses up as a Waffen-SS officer and participates in WW II re-enactments.

Now I don't know enough to judge his choice of character (I'm sure there are Redcoat re-enactors who don't wish the Yankees lost the Revolutionary War). But I do know enough to wonder "what the hell was he thinking?" How in the wide, wide world of sports can someone get to a position where they are running for Congress and not think "Hmmm. Maybe I need to do a statement explaining why there are all these pictures of me dressed up as a SS officer." Or that a political party is so clueless that they wouldn't have an intern spend an hour doing Google-fu to check out candidates they were touting.

So the next time someone from Washington adopts a superior attitude, and suggests you should listen to them because of their superior wisdom - think about this.
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  • alchemist: ... the organization talks about saluting the bravery of read more
  • toc3: This re-enactment stuff always struck me as a particularly bizarre read more
  • Armed Liberal: Foobarista, I think I disagree (and agree). Clearly the microscope read more

No On Proposition 21

By Armed Liberal at 17:42

Proposition 21 restores a vehicle tax that was cut some years ago, and sets the funds aside for parks and wildlife programs.

First, I've got an immense problem with these "special fees" that pay for things that our basic taxes are supposed to pay for. Beyond that, the financial structure that we've erected in California with special fees, setasides, and voter-enacted budget restrictions.

I'd support an initiative to clear all those away and simply let the Legislature and Governor budget and if we don't like their work - fire them. We make a difficult job impossible with these kinds of restrictions (think Robocop2 and the list of rules they put on him - "Don't walk through puddles", etc.), and we give our leadership excuses for failure.

Second, this is a clear example of the cynicism of our political class and the fungibility of cash - from the "No" statement a quote from State Sen. Alan Lowenthal (D) - "Why would anyone vote for the park pass (Prop 21) if we've already fully funded the state parks?"

A hearty "NO" on Proposition 21.
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  • Tim Oren: In spite of being a long term supporter and volunteer read more
  • toc3: I never understood the California Proposition thing. It doesn't appear read more
  • Thorley Winston: I actually would prefer it if more government services were read more

October 9, 2010

Uncomfortable Laughter

By Armed Liberal at 15:00

From On War And Words, an Israeli video on social media, negotiation, and terror.


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Recent Comments
  • Chris: Glen, if we're going to play the money game, let's read more
  • Chris: Avatar- You seem to be living in an alternate reality read more
  • Marcus Vitruvius: And I think now we've gotten to the point where read more
  • alchemist: Everyone has little tricks they play on themselves, to tell read more
  • Marcus Vitruvius: Well, getting back to the original topic.... One thing I read more
  • David Billington: Chris: "David, I'm all for saving the rain forests, but read more
  • alchemist: 1) Sorry, AL, we've totally hijacked this. If you raise read more
  • mark buehner: This idea that the government is somehow micromanaging the economy, read more
  • mark buehner: "I'm not saying the taxes are responsible for the boom read more
  • alchemist: I should add that the 'jolt' was completely necessary in read more
  • alchemist: I'm not saying the taxes are responsible for the boom read more
  • Glen Wishard: Chris:... but the number we actually came up with was read more
  • mark buehner: "People had more money, so they spent. In fact, due read more
  • alchemist: You gave a ridiculous oversimplification, so did I.But we can read more
  • mark buehner: Tax breaks 'create bubbles'? What does that even mean? How read more
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