While Western governments argue over industrial policy, China is quietly building the innovation engine of the clean-energy future. China now files three times more clean tech patents than the rest of the world combined. And it's not slowing down. China is surging towards 300,000 patent applications per year, while the US and EU have stagnated and fallen behind. It's also not just solar and batteries. China leads across the board: EVs, heat pumps and inverters as well as all the power electronics to make it work. China has become the global centre of gravity for clean energy innovation. How did this happen? A few factors stand out: ➡️ Decades of consistent industrial strategy with clear 5 and 10-year targets ➡️ Innovation tightly coupled with manufacturing scale, enabling faster iteration and lower costs ➡️ A fully integrated ecosystem: co-located supply chains, aligned incentives and stable long-term policy signals The result isn't just more patents – it's the rapid commercialisation of new technologies that were barely imaginable a decade ago. Things like: ✅ EVs that can charge in 10 minutes ✅ Solar at US10c/W ✅ UHVDC cables that can carry 12 GW over thousands of kilometres ✅ Battery chemistries evolving at record speed ✅ Fast-response inverters that stabilise grids in milliseconds Patent leadership leads to manufacturing scale, cost reductions, booming exports and global dominance. This chart is an early signal of where clean-energy innovation is heading... #energy #renewables #energytransition
Innovation Culture in IT
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Germany invented the automobile. 🚗 But China just took the keys. 🔑 The 2025 Global Innovation Index is out: China cracks the top 10. Germany is out. 📉 The immediate response: "Of course China ranks high—it has 1.4 billion people and an $18.9 trillion economy compared to Germany's $4.7 trillion”. But here's what makes this milestone remarkable: WIPO's 78 indicators control for population and GDP. R&D spending is measured as a percentage of GDP, not absolute dollars. Researchers are counted per million people, not in total. Under these normalized metrics, China—a middle-income country—is outperforming nations with GDP per capita 3-4 times higher. Countries at China's income level typically rank in the 50s or 60s. China landed at #10. 🐲The "Fat Tech Dragon" Myth is Over The old narrative was simple: China innovates through brute force and massive spending. The new data reveals a leaner machine. China’s innovation output (patents, tech exports) is now surpassing its input scores (R&D spending). They are generating more bang for the innovation buck. How? Three structural shifts: 1️⃣Patent Power: World leader in annual patent filings. 2️⃣Cluster Dominance: Hosts more top global innovation clusters than any other country, with Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou now ranked #1 worldwide. 3️⃣Strategic Capital: Venture funding is strategically funneled into AI, semiconductors, and clean tech, not spread thin. Switzerland still ranks #1. Sweden #2. The U.S. #3. But China at #10 represents something unprecedented: proof that a middle-income economy can compete with wealthy Western nations on innovation efficiency, not just scale. Germany's displacement isn't about German decline—it filed more patents than ever. It's about China fundamentally improving how it converts resources into innovation output. The global innovation playbook is being rewritten. The assumption that high GDP per capita is a prerequisite for leadership is being challenged. The critical question: Is innovation becoming more democratic, or just more concentrated under state-led strategy? What’s your take? 💬 What’s the most underestimated driver of China’s innovation efficiency? _____ #innovation #China #Germany #technology #globalcompetition #ashleytalks
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🌍 China: Pioneering the Path to a Sustainable Future 🌿 China has emerged as a global frontrunner in clean-tech, setting a blueprint for sustainable development. With record investments in renewables, China is on track to double its power generation from clean sources within the next five years, significantly reducing reliance on fossil fuels. This transformation is not just about energy; it’s about driving down costs of key climate technologies, enabling developing economies to leapfrog directly into renewables. However, as China prepares its next five-year plan (2026-2030), it faces challenges from global fragmentation and domestic economic threats. The proposal from the recent 4th Plenum emphasizes “scientific and technological self-reliance” and aims to build a robust domestic market. Yet, the looming risks of export traps and demographic shifts require innovative solutions. Two key policy pillars are crucial for China’s future: 1. Innovation & AI as Growth Multipliers: Leveraging China’s innovation potential and co-leadership in the global AI race can boost productivity, especially in manufacturing sectors. A +10% increase in R&D intensity could raise productivity by +7% on average. 2. Rebalancing Towards Domestic Demand: Restoring consumer confidence and boosting household consumption are vital. Pairing AI-related upgrades with service-sector incentives can maximize employment gains and support a transition to a balanced, consumption-led economy. #CleanTech #Innovation #AI #Sustainability #China #EconomicGrowth #Renewables #GlobalLeadership https://lnkd.in/eGYEpb-v
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The Unavoidable Force: Why #China’s #AI Momentum Can’t Be Wished Away When Jensen Huang speaks about artificial intelligence, it isn’t conjecture. His vantage point sits at the center of the global AI supply chain. He sees demand, capability, and momentum before most of the world does. What he outlined recently should make every serious technology leader pause. Not because it is dramatic. But because it is structural. Today, roughly half of the world’s AI researchers are Chinese. An even larger share of newly filed AI patents—nearly seventy percent—originate from China. These aren’t vanity numbers. They signal where sustained capability is being built, not just where headlines are generated. For years, the comfortable assumption was simple: the West would innovate, Asia would execute. That model no longer holds. Over the past decade, China has moved decisively from adoption to authorship. In several domains of applied AI, materials science, and systems engineering, it is no longer following—it is defining the tempo. What sits beneath this shift is not secrecy or shortcuts. It is education. One of the most striking observations Jensen shared is that nine of the world’s top ten science and technology universities are now in China. This did not happen quickly, and it did not happen by accident. It reflects decades of focused investment in human capability, research infrastructure, and academic rigor. Innovation ultimately follows talent density. When you combine scale, discipline, and sustained policy alignment around STEM excellence, you create an engine that compounds year after year. Science, unlike ideology, does not respond to narratives. It responds to competence. There is also a lingering myth that China’s technology ecosystem is derivative. That view is increasingly detached from reality. The AI landscape there is broad, competitive, and internally reinforcing. Research feeds industry. Industry feeds patents. Patents shape global standards. This is how durable advantage is formed. Geopolitics understandably complicates collaboration. But ignoring technological reality because it is inconvenient is not strategy—it is denial. No country or bloc can meaningfully advance AI while discounting half of the world’s intellectual output. This is not about fear. And it is not about surrender. It is about clarity. The center of gravity in AI has shifted. Recognizing that does not weaken the West; it sharpens it. Serious leadership begins with understanding the board as it actually exists, not as we wish it to be. In the AI era, the most valuable asset is not compute, capital, or even data. It is cultivated human capability—at scale. And on that dimension, China has become impossible to ignore. DC*
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While most leaders are still trying to understand AI, China is already sprinting into the next big leap: synthetic biology at scale. Synthetic biomanufacturing, using engineered microbes to produce food, chemicals, and materials, is not a niche research project anymore. It is becoming a strategic pillar of China’s industrial planning, explicitly elevated in the 15th Five-Year Plan. And if you follow the signals, this is the domain where China might pull the furthest ahead. Because the numbers are staggering: • Producing 6,000 tons of protein through synthetic biomanufacturing uses just 8% of the land, 1% of the water, and emits 95% less CO₂ than dairy farming. • No animal waste. • No fragile supply chains. • No geopolitical chokepoints. This is not innovation for convenience, but innovation for survival. A direct attempt to solve the collision between climate change, population growth, and resource scarcity. Meanwhile, the West still treats synthetic biology as “emerging,” while China treats it as inevitable, allocating capital, manufacturing capacity, regulatory speed, and national strategy to push it forward. Yes, hurdles remain: commercialization, misaligned incentives, regulatory lag. But China is building the ecosystem anyway. In the same way it dominated solar, batteries, EVs, and robotics, it is now laying the foundation to dominate the biology-based economy. If AI reshaped how we think, synthetic biology will reshape what we eat, wear, build, and grow. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗴𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲: Are we preparing for a world where biology becomes a programmable manufacturing force? Or are we about to be outpaced again?
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Thrilled to share our new research published today in PNAS with brilliant colleagues Renli Wu (Northwestern University) and Christopher Esposito (UCLA Anderson)! 🎉 "Shifting power asymmetries in scientific teams reveal China's rising leadership in global science" We analyzed millions of scientific papers to understand how leadership in international collaborations is shifting by assessing who plays leadership roles in science. Here's what we found: 📊 The Leadership Shift In US-China collaborations: Chinese scientists went from leading 30% of projects (2010) to 45% (2023). Our models project parity by 2027-2028. 🔬 Critical Technologies: China is on track to reach leadership parity with the US in 8 of 11 critical technology areas before 2030—including AI, semiconductors, and advanced communications. 🌍 The Decoupling Paradox: Counterintuitively, our models show that US-China scientific decoupling would actually increase China's global scientific leadership, as Chinese scientists redirect partnerships to countries where they're more likely to lead. 🎓 Belt & Road Investments: China invested $4.6B in training international students (2012-2025), with growing focus on developing countries. This is already translating into scientific leadership in those regions. 💡 What This Means: This isn't a zero-sum game. The real question is whether competition will drive positive investments in global scientific capacity—or whether efforts to restrain progress will harm both nations and slow global advancement. The dynamics of US-China scientific competition can go in very different directions depending on policy choices made today. Paper: https://lnkd.in/g_GYzPrt Grateful to the NSF National Network for Critical Technology Evaluation and UChicago Knowledge Lab #Science #Research #Innovation #GlobalScience #SciencePolicy #China #ChinaPolicy
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China is unstoppable, set to challenge the world. OR China’s problems are dire, the miracle is over. So … which is it? To understand why both assertions are true, have a look at an illuminating passage from the newsletter of Lingling Wei, the Wall Street Journal's veteran China reporter, as published as a reader Q&A (the newsletter, btw, is a must read for the China curious). And to see why this 'seeming contradiction' matters, have a look at our commentary below Lingling’s excerpt, courtesy of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. From LL’s newsletter: A reader asks: You paint a picture of dire present-day economic and employment conditions in China. And yet we hear a drumbeat of how China has matched or surpassed the U.S. in leading-edge technologies. Can you please explain this seeming contradiction? LL's answer: You've pinpointed a key paradox. Both narratives about China–economic struggle and technological progress–are true. China’s 40-year, investment-driven boom is over. It's now grappling with a collapsed property market, soaring youth unemployment, and deepening deflation. At the same time, its technological advancement is real. In fields like AI, quantum computing, telecommunications and clean energy, China isn't just a competitor; in some areas, it's setting the pace. More from LL: The two pictures reconcile when you see China's tech sector as a state-within-a-state. It's propelled by massive government funding and a huge pool of STEM talent, all driven by a national mission for technological self-sufficiency. This top-down approach can create pockets of world-class innovation even as the broader economy sputters. However, the tech sector isn't big enough to power the whole country. The real question is whether the sputtering wider economy will eventually stall this remarkable innovation machine. GID Comment: Much is written about China's manufacturing prowess, its highly skilled engineers, its dominance of key sectors, its ambitions to create chokepoints in steel, ships, solar panels, critical minerals, EVs and countless others. All of this is true and worthy of careful monitoring. Beijing showed us through its Oct. 9 export control announcement how it seeks to leverage dominance of the processing of key materials (see attached). But don't lose focus on where China isn’t succeeding, because a much bigger piece of China's economy faces problems with no easy solutions: a property crisis, excess capacity, saturated infrastructure markets, and - above all - aging. These problems cannot be anything but an acute concern for China's leadership. The slowing economy means time is no longer on China's side, it can no longer grow out of its problems, and it isn't clear how Zhongnanhai is going to react. Is China seeking to leverage chokepoints out of confidence? Or out of a creeping sense of desperation?
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Bloomberg analysis last year found that China has achieved a global leadership position in five of 13 key #technologies and is catching up fast in seven others, including artificial intelligence and robots. It has obtained a clear lead in electric vehicles, automotive software and lithium battery technology, produces the world’s most efficient and lowest-cost solar panels, and is developing innovative drugs — rendering obsolete the old punchline “the US innovates, China replicates.” All of that has propelled #China’s manufacturing sector to historic heights. Bloomberg Intelligence’ calculations show that China’s manufactured goods trade surplus is the largest relative to global GDP of any country since the US right after World War 2. #Shipbuilding is one of the starkest examples of China’s newfound dominance: The nation now produces more than half of the world’s cargo ships by tonnage, up from just 5% in 1999, according to the US Trade Representative. American shipyards, by comparison, accounted for 0.01% of the global share last year. Bloomberg’s report highlights significant concerns for the U.S., indicating that efforts to contain China's rise might unintentionally isolate the U.S. and adversely affect its businesses and consumers. Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a researcher for multiple governments and central banks, warns that U.S. restrictions are unlikely to hinder China's technological advancement and might only achieve this through extreme measures that could simultaneously stifle innovation in the U.S. and globally.
