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2024 A review of regularised estimation methods and cross-validation in spatiotemporal statistics
Philipp Otto, Alessandro Fassò, Paolo Maranzano
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Statist. Surv. 18: 299-340 (2024). DOI: 10.1214/24-SS150

Abstract

This review article focuses on regularised estimation procedures applicable to geostatistical and spatial econometric models and suitable cross-validation techniques for spatiotemporal data. These methods are particularly relevant in the case of big geospatial data for dimension reduction or model selection. To structure the review, we initially consider the most general case of multivariate spatiotemporal processes (i.e., g>1 dimensions of the spatial domain, a one-dimensional temporal domain, and q1 random variables). Then, the idea of regularised/penalised estimation procedures and different choices of shrinkage targets are discussed. Guided by the elements of a mixed-effects model setup, which allows for a variety of spatiotemporal models, we show different regularisation procedures and how they can be used for the analysis of geo-referenced data, e.g. for selection of relevant regressors, dimension reduction of the covariance matrices, detection of conditionally independent locations, or the estimation of a full spatial interaction matrix. The second part is dedicated to cross-validation strategies, which are important for evaluating the model performance and selecting regularisation parameters. We outline the three key assumptions a cross-validation partitioning needs to fulfil and discuss how this can be achieved for time series, spatial data and spatiotemporal data. Additionally, software implementations for these techniques are discussed.

Funding Statement

The work is partially funded by

Acknowledgments

We sincerely thank the editors and anonymous reviewers for their valuable recommendations and suggestions, which helped improve the paper.

Citation

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Philipp Otto. Alessandro Fassò. Paolo Maranzano. "A review of regularised estimation methods and cross-validation in spatiotemporal statistics." Statist. Surv. 18 299 - 340, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-SS150

Information

Received: 1 May 2024; Published: 2024
First available in Project Euclid: 11 December 2024

arXiv: 2402.00183
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/24-SS150

Subjects:
Primary: 62-02 , 62H11 , 62J07
Secondary: 62K99 , 62M45 , 62P12

Keywords: big data , Dimension reduction , Geostatistics , spatial econometrics

Vol.18 • 2024
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