“2012 Election Center: What you need to know about everything that matters this cycle”

Check it out.

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A Sea Change in Republican Presidential Attitudes on the Voting Rights Act

In July 2006, President Bush signed the reauthorization of the Voting Rights Act in a ceremony praising the participation of civil rights leaders, including family members of Dr. King. The bill passed 98-0 in the Senate and 390-33 in the House.  Although there were Republican members of the House and Senate who voiced objections that section 5 of the Voting Rights Act (requiring states with a history of discrimination to get permission from the federal government before changing their voting rules) violated principles of federalism, President Bush did not mention those objections or give them any credence.

Tonight’s South Carolina Republican presidential debate indicates that things have changed dramatically.  Fox News’s Juan Williams asked Texas governor Rick Perry about whether the federal government still has a role to play in protecting voting rights in a state like South Carolina, which blocked African Americans from voting.  He specifically mentioned the DOJ’s denial of preclearance of South Carolina’s voter i.d. law, and and South Carolina’s threat to take the issue all the way to the Supreme Court.  (Watch the video.)

Juan Williams: Are you suggesting on this Martin Luther King Jr. Day that the federal government has no business scrutinizing the voting laws of states where minorities were once denied the right to vote?”

Governor Perry responded: “I’m saying that the state of Texas is under assault by the federal government.  I’m saying also that South Carolina is at war with this federal government and with this administration. When you look at what this Justice Department has done, not only have they taken them to task on voter i.d.,…”

Mark my words: this is a major change in Republican presidential attitudes toward the Voting Rights Act, and the coalition which held together to get the 2006 Voting Rights Act reauthorization has collapsed.

 

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Santorum Ahead by 80 Votes in Iowa?

No kidding.  And no surprise.

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CBS News on DOJ Objection to Preclearance of South Carolina Voter ID Law

CBS News reports.

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New CRS Report on Presidential Nominating Process

Here.

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West Virginia Redistricting Case Reaches SCOTUS

Lyle Denniston explains.

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Did Citizens United Leads to Super PACs?

Noah Feldman at Bloomberg view says yes.  I made similar points in my recent CNN piece.

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“Super PACs dominate Republican primary spending”

Dan Eggen reports for WaPo.

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Audio of Political Wire Radio Now Posted

Here  [I was interviewed about Super PACs in Hour 3].

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“Unlimited contributions give ‘Super PACs’ power to change presidential race”

NBC’s “Rock Center” reports.  I will update with a link to Ted Koppel’s segment on Super PACs when it is available.

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“Scott Brown, Elizabeth Warren call for Super PAC cease fire”

Politico reports.

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New Mexico District Court Rejects Argument that Political Parties Entitled to Make Larger Contributions than Individuals

You can read the opinion in Republican Party of New Mexico v. King here.

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“Voter ID Legislation Could Come Up Next Week”

News from Pa.

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“Governor Who Took On Unions May Face a Closely Watched Recall Election”

NYT reports.

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“Donors Gave as Santorum Won Earmarks”

The NY Times offers this front-page report.

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Quote of the Day

We need – and the American people deserve – election systems that are free from discrimination, free from partisan influence, and free from fraud.   And we must do everything within our power to make certain that these systems are more, not less, accessible to the citizens of this country.   The Justice Department will continue working to protect the voting rights of U.S. service members and veterans, and to enforce other laws that protect Americans living abroad, citizens with disabilities, and language minorities.   But we can’t do it alone.

Protecting the right to vote, ensuring meaningful access, and combating discrimination must be viewed, not only as a legal issue – but as a moral imperative.   And ensuring that every eligible citizen has the right to vote must become our common cause.

This means that we must support policies aimed at modernizing our voting systems; at ensuring that all eligible citizens have access to complete, accurate, and understandable information about where, when, and how they can cast a ballot; and at preventing and punishing fraudulent voting practices.

Voter fraud, quite simply, is not acceptable – and will not be tolerated by this Justice Department.   But as I learned early in my legal career –when I actually investigated and prosecuted voting-fraud cases – making voter registration easier is simply not likely, by itself, to make our elections more susceptible to fraud.   Indeed, responsible parties on all sides of this debate have acknowledged that in-person voting fraud is uncommon.

In this great nation there must always be room for discussion, for debate, and for improvement – and there will continue to be competing visions about how our government should move forward.   That’s what the democratic process is all about – creating space for the thoughtful exchange of ideas, creating opportunity for citizens to voice their opinions, and ultimately letting the people – through the casting of their ballots – chart their course.   Our nation has worked for, struggled for, and fought for such a system.   And, today, this fight goes on.   The progress we hold dear, and the democracy we hold sacred, is in our hands – and our responsibility to carry forward.

AG Eric Holder, speaking today in South Carolina on Martin Luther King Day

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“Perry Files Emergency Request to Get on Virginia Republican Primary Ballot”

Bloomberg reports. If anyone has a copy of Virginia’s response, due this morning, please pass it along and I will post.

UPDATE:  Virginia’s response to Perry’s emergency motion in the 4th Circuit is here.  (Thanks to Michael Li for the document.)

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Laches and election-law: “Piling on” edition

In this post, Rick pointed out one substantial downside of last-minute election claims.  I made a similar point in this Article, in the context of litigation challenging election-day burdens like lines at the polls (and citing the discussion Rick blogged about).  Where (and only where) the conditions likely to cause the problem are known well in advance, early resolution based on a probabilistic assessment of likely harm benefits the system as a whole.  (But see Crawford…)

And while Rick’s discussion here focuses on pre-election v. post-election relief, the Article above builds on Rick’s point in a different piece: even pre-election, logistical difficulties increase the later it gets in the election cycle.   (In a way, this is the second state where Perry’s involved in a pragmatic election administration mess caused by unresolved last-minute litigation, though technically, laches aren’t — and shouldn’t be — at issue in the Texas case).  The Virginia election isn’t until March 6, but absentee ballots should already have been printed, and have to be mailed in less than a week.   Even if the choice at hand doesn’t threaten to overturn the results of an election, it’s already making it more difficult to actually run the election in question.

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“Warren, Brown to hold summit on banning outside group spending”

Even if they reach agreement, I predict that there will be tremendous outside spending in this race.  Control of the Senate could turn on it.  Super PACs will have no incentive to listen to the candidates, whether they are sincere or not in wanting to limit outside spending.

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First Colbert Super PAC Ad Attacks Mitt Romney (as a Corporate Serial Killer) but Does Not Mention Colbert

Watch.

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“Billionaires Weigh in With Super PACs”

The Financial Times reports.

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Why Laches in Election Law Litigation?

The laches issue is now before the 4th Circuit in the Perry VA ballot access case. [UPDATE: The Perry motion is here.] I have long advocated that courts be more willing to entertain early challenges to election rules but also aggressively use the equitable doctrine of laches to bar late challenges to election rules.  Here’s my most extended discussion of the issue in the context of pre- versus post-election challenges to election rules (not exactly the Perry situation, but close enough to make the public policy point) (footnotes omitted):

The final reform this Article advocates relates to the timing of court challenges to election administration practices: Courts should be more willing to entertain pre-election challenges and less willing to entertain post-election challenges, at least for those issues that could reasonably have been foreseen and raised before the election. The argument for the timing change is two-fold, considering both the benefits of pre-election review and the costs of post-election review.

Turning first to the benefits, in some cases—particularly those involving presidential elections—pre-election adjudication remains the only way to give an effective remedy to an aggrieved plaintiff. Consider Palm Beach County’s 2000 “butterfly ballot.” There is strong evidence that its design cost Al Gore the election in Florida. After the election, a group of plaintiffs brought suit challenging the butterfly ballot and asking for a re-vote in Palm Beach County to correct the error. Unsurprisingly, the trial judge denied the request for a re-vote: “[B]ecause Presidential elections are the only national elections held in our country, our forefathers included clear and unambiguous language in the Constitution of the United States which require [sic] that Presidential ‘electors’ be elected on the same day throughout the United States.” “While a re-vote or new election may not give other States ‘undue advantage’ in the instant action, the danger of one candidate benefiting from an undue advantage in a re-vote or new election is always a strong possibility.”

Imagine if someone had gone to court before the election, making a claim that the design of the ballot would be confusing and could affect the outcome of the election. Had that kind of suit been heard on the merits, it is possible that the problem could have been avoided, and a redesign of the ballot would have greatly increased the chances for thousands more voters to cast votes matching their intent. Pre-election review thus presented the only possible opportunity to afford a remedy for potential disenfranchisement of Florida’s voters….

But consider the costs associated with post-election challenges, where a court is asked to overturn the result of an election or take a step that can affect the outcome of an election. Such litigation puts courts in a difficult position. A court asked to decide a question of statutory or constitutional law that affects the outcome of an already held election is injected in the worst way into the political thicket. Journalists immediately question the partisan background of the judges, and partisan motives are immediately questioned and dissected no matter what the judges do.

Putting judges in the position of deciding election law questions when the winner and loser of its decision will be obvious can undermine the legitimacy of the courts.  Moreover, when judges second-guess decisions made by legislators and votes cast by the people, the legitimacy of the election process itself can suffer. The nation does not want it to become the norm that no close election results are considered final until the courts have had their say, but the nation is coming perilously close to that situation given the increased use of election law as political strategy.

Of course, there are situations where pre-election review is impossible because the election problem that materializes is not reasonably foreseen: Consider the Carteret County, North Carolina problem, where election administrators made a mistake about the capacity of their electronic voting machines to hold electronic votes. Nor does it make sense to require campaigns to take extraordinary and costly steps to ferret out all potential election administration problems, such as a problem with felon voters being left on the voting rolls who may later cast illegal votes. But putting asidethose cases that would require clairvoyance or an onerous undertaking, there are many reasons to favor pre-election review and disfavor post-election review.

Allowing post-election review when pre-election review would have been relatively easy to request essentially gives a campaign the “option” whether to sue: The campaign identifying a potential election problem can sit on its hands until it sees the election results, and if it does not like the election results it can use the problem as an excuse to get a more favorable outcome. It is far better to have a legal system that discourages such speculation and encourages preventing harm in elections that would prove difficult to undo after the fact….

Allowing more pre-election review is not a recipe for more overall election litigation. Courts should make clear that a willingness to reach issues before the election will be accompanied by a strict application of laches after the election. “[L]aches is unreasonable delay by the plaintiff in prosecuting a claim or protecting a right of which the plaintiff knew or should have known, and under circumstances causing prejudice to the defendant.” But it is subject to some exceptions, including an exception that prevents its application “to defeat the public interest.” This exception threatens to swallow the rule in election law litigation, because the public has an interest that election law disputes get their day in court.

Courts should see it as in the public interest in election law cases to aggressively apply laches so as to prevent litigants from securing options over election administration problems. This rule will promote the public interest by insuring public confidence in the election process. Judge Posner saw it that way in a lawsuit brought by Ralph Nader to allow him to file petitions late getting him on the presidential ballot in Illinois in 2004:

[I]t would be inequitable to order preliminary relief in a suit filed so gratuitously late in the campaign season. It wasn’t filed until June 27, only a little more than four months before the election. If when he declared his candidacy back in February Nader had thought as he now does that the Illinois Election Code unconstitutionally impaired his chances of getting a place on the ballot, he could easily have filed suit at the same time that he declared his candidacy—especially as he had filed a similar suit the last time he ran for President, in 2000, when he obtained a preliminary injunction that got him on the Illinois ballot by allowing him to submit petitions collected after the deadline, though no final judgment was ever entered.

Judge Posner recognized that the public interest in fact militated in favor of a laches holding:

We are mindful that the right to stand for office is to some extent derivative from the right of the people to express their opinions by voting; it was doubtless to remind us of this that Nader’s lawyers added two prospective voters as plaintiffs. But nothing is more common than for the denial of an injunction to harm innocent nonparties, such as people who would like to vote for Nader but unlike the two voter plaintiffs are not complicit in his decision on the timing of the suit. But there are innocents on the other side as well—namely the people who will be harmed if a last-minute injunction disrupts the Presidential election in Illinois. And Nader’s supporters can of course cast write-in votes for him in November.

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Gerstein Posts Excerpts from Perry and Gingrich’s Emergency 4th Circuit Appeal in VA Ballot Access Case

Here.

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Rick Perry Files Emergency Appeal in 4th Circuit in Va Ballot Case

The notice of appeal specifically mentions that Perry will raise the laches issue. (h/t Michael Li)

Perry has a tough road.  According to a recent 4th circuit case, “A district court’s laches determination is reviewed for an abuse of discretion.”

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“Retail politicking redefined?”

Politico: “Attention shoppers: You’re now free to turn your shoes, suits and CDs into political power.After months navigating legal channels, the website for GivingSphere is now live, and goods purchased through its participating merchants earn consumers cash they may direct to political candidates and committees — in addition to a variety of charitable causes.”

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“California political watchdog agency sues U.S. Postal Service”

Not the kind of suit you’d see every day.

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On Political Wire Radio Tonight

Talking about Super PACs with Taagen Goddard.  Listen via the link here.

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“Navajo Nation sues to protect voting rights in county in Utah”

Indianz.com reports.  More from AP.

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“Gingrich Asks ‘Super PAC’ to Address Errors in Ad Against Romney”

NYT’s “The Caucus” blog reports.

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Will Perry Appeal Va. Ballot Access Decision?

His attorney says he’s still mulling.

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“Attorney General to speak on voting rights in South Carolina”

Reuters: “Attorney General Eric Holder plans to deliver a speech on voting rights on Monday at a Martin Luther King holiday rally in South Carolina, a state where just weeks ago his Justice Department blocked a new voter identification law.”

Pretty in your face, I’d say.

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“West Virginia Leaders Turn to Supreme Court”

Roll Call: “Top West Virginia legislators have asked the Supreme Court to overturn a lower court’s decision and let them keep a new Congressional map in place. In an emergency appeal filed late Friday, key legislative leaders and Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin (D) said that drawing up a new map would cost too much money and take too much time.”

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Special Master Nate Persily Releases Conn. Redistricting

Here. From page 22 of the report: “Two complete plans were submitted to the Special Master in advance of the January 9, 2012, hearing: one from the Republican Members of the Reapportionment Commission and a second from the Democratic Members. Both plans comply with one person, one vote by achieving a deviation of no more than one person and both comply with the Voting Rights Act. For different reasons, I rejected both plans and developed the one previously described.”

AP: “Connecticut’s congressional district lines would receive only minor changes under a plan that has been submitted to the state Supreme Court by a special master.”

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“Voter ID Still Languishing at the Department of Justice”

The Texas Tribune reports that Texas has responded with more information to DOJ, starting a new 60-day clock.

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“GOP Makes Run at Corporate Cash”

Politico reports on the RNC’s amicus brief in the Danielczyk case.

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AARP Bulletin Tackles Voter ID

Here.

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Paul Prados on the VA Ballot Decision

Here, at the “Northern Virginia Lawyer” blog.

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And in Friday Afternoon FEC Action

Here’s a draft advisory opinion on whether money used to help pay voters pay to obtain voter ids needs to be reported to the FEC.

And here’s a statement of reasons from the Democratic Commissioners involving a big-headed Republican Senate candidate from New Hampshire.  (h/t Brian Svoboda)

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“2012 redistricting: Top 10 matchups between incumbents”

The Fix reports.

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Jim Bopp Taking Montana CU Challenge to SCOTUS

See here.  My guess is that he won’t have to even argue this one, and will get a summary reversal.

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Dan Smith on Fla. Early Voting Hours and the Presidential Primary

See here.  Sen. Durbin is holding a hearing.

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“Virginia Judge Upholds Ballot Access Law”

Pete Williams reports for MSNBC.

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Breaking News: Fed. Court Rejects Bid of Perry to be on the Va. Ballot

The memorandum opinion explains, as I suggested, that the plaintiffs should lose based on laches: “The equitable doctrine of laches’ bars plaintiffs’ request for a preliminary injunction.  They knew the rules in Virginia many months ago; the limitations on circulators affected them as soon as they began to circulate petitions.  The plaintiffs could have challenged Virginia law at that time. Instead they waited until after the time to gather petitions had ended and they had lost the political battle to be on the ballot; then, on the eve of printing absentee ballots, they decided to challenge Virginia’s laws.  In essence, they played the game, lost, and the complained the rules were unfair.”

The court also goes on to analyze the merits in case there is an appeal to the 4th Circuit.  The court finds that the plaintiffs would have won had they sought relief earlier.

In essence, this Pyrrhic victory for Perry will help future candidates in Virginia, assuming it is upheld on appeal.

 

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Pyrrhic Victory Imminent for Perry and Gingrich on VA Ballot?

Richmond Times-Dispatch:

At the conclusion of a hearing that began about 10:15 a.m. and ended approximately 1:45 p.m., U.S. District judge John A. Gibney Jr., said he expected to have a ruling in writing by 3 p.m.

“I think that the residency requirement is likely to fall,” Gibney said at one point this afternoon. But, he added, he is troubled about the remedy sought by Perry and the others.

“I can’t for the life of me see how to put them on the ballot if they don’t have the (10,000) signatures,” he said

As WaPo reported on December 31: “Neither Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Rep. Michelle Bachmann, former senator Rick Santorum nor former House speaker Newt Gingrich submitted the 10,000 signatures required to get a spot on the state’s ballot in time for Super Tuesday.”

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“Supreme Anxiety; Do controversial court decisions really inspire the backlash liberals fear?”

David Fontana and Donald Braman have written this article for The New Republic.

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“Colbert Gets Challenge By Reform Group’s Possible Exploratory Super PAC”

The Public Campaign Action Fund has issued this press release (trying to put the “Fun” back in “Fund” apparently).

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Two From Democracy 21 on Super PACs

Democracy 21 Sent Letter to Attorney General Today to Supplement January 10th Letter that Raised Serious Questions about the Legality of the Presidential Candidate-Specific Super PACs

and

Comprehensive Disclosure Legislation to be Introduced by Disclosure Reform Leaders Will Solve Super PAC Disclosure Problems

 

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“Stephen Colbert vs. the Supreme Court: Testing the Limits of Super PAC Coordination”

Michael Scherer writes for Time.

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“Justice Li”‘s Fantasy Opinion in the Texas Redistricting Case

Here.

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“PACs’ Aid Allows Romney’s Rivals to Extend Race”

Nick Confessore and Jim Rutenberg have written this piece for the NY Times.

I think it is important to recognize the limits that the Super PAC money will have (and have had) on the presidential race.

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