There's a real dearth of polling data out of South Carolina at the moment. The last public poll was completed on December 19th, which might as well be a hundred years ago. And remember that in recent years, it's South Carolina much more than Iowa or New Hampshire where you really need to win to secure the Republican nomination.
We know that Public Policy Polling is currently in the field in the state. And they've just tweeted a few polling morsels from there first night of polling. And the first night shows Mitt Romney ahead by 10 points in the state, with Gingrich and Santorum battling for second.
It seems very likely that Romney will win convincingly in New Hampshire. If he then goes on to score a clear win in South Carolina, that would likely be pretty much it in terms of a real battle for the nomination.
PPP makes the additional point that in a head to head in South Carolina, Santorum's in shooting distance. But that would require Gingrich and Perry pulling out. On the other hand, if Mitt's solid even in a one on one race in the state, that signals that the weakness in the state which many have suspected or hoped for just ain't there.
Did Rick Santorum actually win the Iowa caucuses? KCCI in Des Moines is reporting that a vote counter at one caucus says a counting error gave Mitt Romney 20 more votes than he actually received. Meanwhile Iowa GOP officials say that counter, Edward True, isn't authorized to discuss the results.
Is it too late? The Boston Globe endorses Jon Huntsman.
If Gingrich and Santorum really do have a "non-aggression pact" then clearly someone didn't get the memo.
Mitt's new tax plan: Tax hikes if you make less than 40k a year, tax cuts if you make more.
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Read More →Romney's new attack on Obama carries shades of Jimmy Cagney and Kelsey Grammer in Boss.
Not-gay former New Life Church pastor Ted Haggard swaps wives with Gary Busey on Celebrity Wife Swap.
The investigation into former aides to Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has produced its first latest arrest.
Washington state Gov. Christine Gregoire (D) says that on Monday she'll introduce a full marriage equality bill for her state. "It's time, it's the right thing to do, and I will introduce a bill to do it."
Don't look now, but tax season will soon be upon us.
The more committed are already diligently preparing to file their returns, while the rest of us will be procrastinating until spring.
Knowing his meticulous nature, we're guessing Mitt Romney gets his returns in early, but he won't be showing them to you. Here's a good idea as to why.
Army reservist who spoke at Ron Paul rally in Iowa Tuesday while in uniform should have known better, an expert on military law tells TPM.
Gotta see this Michele Bachmann tribute reel. Must See. Watch.
Relive the god-awful memories.
Obama decides to recess appoint Richard Cordray after all.
Newt: "We're going to be defining Romney out of the mainstream of the Republican party."
Rick Perry tweets: "Here we come South Carolina!!!"
This could get fun.
Michele Bachmann expected to announce at 11 ET that she is suspending her campaign following her sixth place finish in Iowa.
NBC News reports that Michele Bachmann will cancel her planned trip to South Carolina, and hold a press conference at 11AM eastern.
Our tip sheet on the 10 things to watch for today on the 2012 campaign trail.
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