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[28 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 18 Comments | ]
MACRO THOUGHTS FROM A RAIL INDUSTRY INSIDER

We’re very fortunate to have a broad reach into corporate America and many of the best minds in business today. We recently discussed some macro issues with Oscar Munoz, CFO of CSX. The rail industry is one of the very best indicators of economic growth and CSX is a leader in this important sector of the global economy. Oscar was kind enough to share his opinions on the rail industry and what CSX sees in store for the macro economy going forward:

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[28 Apr 2011 by Guest| 0 Comments | ]
DOWNSIDE TARGETS FOR SILVER

Silver is in a structural bull market and will see significantly higher prices in the coming years. However, now is not the time to be buying. The market has spiked and a retracement is coming. Sentimentrader.com’s public opinion as of last week was over 90% bulls.

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[28 Apr 2011 by Surly Trader| 4 Comments | ]
PUT SPREADS AS AN ATTRACTIVE HEDGE

With the announcement that QE2 will not end early, the euphoria in the markets seems to be setting us up for a summer market correction followed by the announcement of QE3. I remember May 5, 2010 quite well and I hope you do too.

Market Indicators »

[28 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 2 Comments | ]
AAR REPORTS MIXED WEEK IN RAIL TRAFFIC

This week’s rail traffic report from the AAR is a bit more mixed than many of the recent reports.  Carloads actually declined on a YoY basis while intermodal traffic continued …

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[28 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 58 Comments | ]
ON THE PROSPECTS OF QE3

In a research report this morning Liz Ann Sonders of Charles Schwab discussed the prospects of QE3:
“… what about QE3?
Bernanke didn’t quite close the door on QE3, but made it …

Market Indicators »

[28 Apr 2011 by Charles Rotblut| 1 Comment | ]
BULLISH SENTIMENT REBOUNDS, REMAINS BELOW AVERAGE

Bullish sentiment rebounded 5.7 percentage points to 37.9% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months remained below its historical average of 39% for the second consecutive week.

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[28 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 54 Comments | ]
DAVID ROSENBERG TURNS BULLISH….

After trying to call the top in equities every other week for the last two years, David Rosenberg has finally thrown in the towel on the bearish calls.  In his …

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[27 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 38 Comments | ]
THE FED DOESN’T INDUCE SPECULATIVE BEHAVIOR?

Let’s expand on the previous post regarding event studies.  The big news of the day was the Fed’s new transparency due to the Fed Chief’s press conference.  But today’s market …

Data points, Most Recent Stories »

[27 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 18 Comments | ]
AN EVENT STUDY ON THE FED & QE2

The various Fed banks are big fans of event studies.  They like to take one or two day events and extrapolate out to make very broad conclusions about Fed policy …

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[27 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 9 Comments | ]
FOMC DECISION: NO CHANGE IN RATES, NO CHANGE IN POLICY

Not much to report here from the FOMC decision.   This decision is very similar to the last few.  The key takeaways:

The economic recovery continues at a moderate pace.
The Fed will …

Chart Of The Day, Most Recent Stories »

[27 Apr 2011 by Cullen Roche| 5 Comments | ]
THE OIL PRICE CHEAT SHEET

In a recent research report Standard Chartered provided a nice cheat sheet for the increasing energy woes.  They provide a one stop shop for the various impacts on all asset …