Daily Morning Newsbriefing
The crisis is back
19.04.2011
Frenzy over increasingly likely Greek debt restructuring and outcome of Finnish elections sends eurozone bond spreads back up to crisis levels.
Eurointelligence Policy Brief
A short background note on the European politics behind the Portuguese rescue
18.04.2011There is a distinct possibility of a funding squeeze for Portugal, especially in case of inconclusive election outcome. The EU's crisis resolution is getting messier and messier.
Eurointelligence Syndicated Column
A Tale of Two Trilemmas
15.04.2011
By: Kevin O’Rourke
This article relates two famous trilemmas - the Mundell-Fleming monetary policy trilemma and Dani Rodrik's fundamental political trilemma - to the eurozone and its financial crisis.
Ireland’s debts to the eurosystem
07.04.2011
By: John Whittaker
Ireland is paying 1% interest on €146bn of borrowing from the central banks of other eurozone countries. To the extent that it is persuaded to replace this eurosystem ‘bailout’ with more expensive EU/IMF bailout funds, this will only increase the financial distress and bring default closer.
Should we cheer the European Stability Mechanism?
31.03.2011
By: Paul de Grauwe
We should be happy that a European Monetary Fund, the ESM, has been created. That’s the good news. The bad news is that the fine print of the operation of the future ESM is not likely to lead to stability in the Eurozone.
Euro breakup revisited
24.03.2011
By: Wolfgang Münchau
German limited liability for the eurozone makes serial sovereign default increasingly likely. Even a break-up is no longer a zero probability event.
Decision Time
By: Marco Annunziata
It’s time for EU leaders to step up their game, to switch their sights from survival to success.
Sovereign CDS – The Case for Control
16.03.2011
By: Satyajit Das
ISDA’s argument that a ban on naked sovereign CDS will adversely affect Europe’s financial stability is disingenuous. Speculative trading in sovereign CDS is likely to be more destabilising, allowing potential market manipulation.
The flawed economics of the Competitiveness Pact:
10.03.2011
By: Daniel Gros
A restoration of competitiveness in Southern Europe needs ultimately a macroeconomic cure: a contraction in demand leading to adjustment in wages. As capital flows are now reversing the imbalances will anyway disappear on their own. This ‘market based’ adjustment pattern needs time, but it works.
The Eurozone’s new clothes
04.03.2011
By: Thomas Klau
The current European effort to rescue the eurozone ignores three basic truths: it is a banking crisis first and formost; there is an intolerable overlap of co-ordination proposals; and rules and sanctions-based proposals are unworkable in a large monetary union.








