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October 21st, 2010

Given the NoCal v. SoCal fight that my World Series post precipitated, I thought I should offer another very apt analogy.  This comes via my friend and colleague Ann Carlson:

The bay area is Canada.  LA is the U.S.  We hardly notice them; they think obsessively about not being us.

I think that that’s right.  Moreover, Canada/SF is colder and lower in population than US/LA.  Both types of northerners are also at times insufferably smug.

One could finally argue that the northerners more progressive politically, although that’s trickier: for the City of Los Angeles, that holds very weakly, and since San Francisco is a county as well as a city, issues arise there that do not arise in the City of Los Angeles.  Your mileage may vary.

That is all.

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October 20th, 2010

Evolution is just like global warming: each has such overwhelming scientific evidence behind it that denial of either one is strong evidence that the speaker is either ot-nay oo-tay ight-bray or blinded by some prejudice. The difference is that evolution doesn’t generate many controversial policy implications: ExxonMobil and other polluters don’t stand to lose tens of billions if people believe in it, and therefore aren’t spending tens of millions ginning up a bogus “scientific controversy.” So evolution-deniers tend to be Biblical fundamentalists while global-warming deniers tend to be market fundamentalists. (The two groups overlap in the Tea Party mishegas.)

Voting Republican this year, or anytime soon, means empowering both groups of ignorant boobs. And the connection between their folly and (e.g.) their support of torture is not accidental; as Voltaire said, the step is short from believing absurdities to committing atrocities.

Footnote If Beck really wants to see a half-man, half-ape, he should look in the mirror. But of course he’s not the “missing link”: he seems to be moving in the wrong direction.

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October 20th, 2010

Republican Senate candidate Ken Buck is getting in a lot of hot water, and justifiably so, for refusing to prosecute a rape case when he was a county DA because, as he told the rape victim, jurors would see the case as one of “buyer’s remorse.”  Buck has since repeated that phrase on Meet The Press, and appears to stand by it.  The victim had known the assailant and invited him to her room; the assailant admitted to prosecutors that he had had sex with her without her consent.

Now, Buck is a smooth talking guy — especially for a Tea Party candidate — and on MTP he said that he didn’t think he could go ahead with the case because he couldn’t get a conviction, that the jurors wouldn’t buy it.  That seems reasonable: do we want prosecutors indicting people even if they think they can’t convict?  Well, yes: we do.  Buck’s defense here rests on a verbal sleight-of-hand — and perhaps a basic misunderstanding of his job.

The relevant ABA standard says that a prosecutor should not prosecute if he does not think that he can prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt.  But that’s very different from saying you shouldn’t prosecute if you can’t get a conviction, because you may prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt but lose because of unreasonable jurors.  Analogy: in the 1950′s in the south, a white man rapes a Black woman, with uncontrovertible evidence.  Should the prosecutor refuse to bring the case because “jurors around here won’t buy it?”

The ABA has answered that question, and the answer is no:

Standard 3-3.9 Discretion in the Charging Decision

   (e) In cases which involve a serious threat to the community, the prosecutor should not be deterred from prosecution by the fact that in the jurisdiction juries have tended to acquit persons accused of the particular kind of criminal act in question.

So for Buck to say that he wouldn’t bring the case because of what the jurors would think means that he would at least violate the spirit behind the ABA standard.

Of course, there is an alternative explanation that would get Buck off the hook on possible ignorance/violation of ethical standards: he doesn’t think that a confessed date rapist is a “serious threat to the community.”  And I think that that is what happened.  It wasn’t that Ken Buck thought that jurors would think it was “buyer’s remorse”; it is that Ken Buck thought it was buyer’s remorse.

Buck clearly has issues on gender and sexuality.  He said he would make a better Senator than his primary opponent, Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, because he “doesn’t wear high heels.”  He compares homosexuality to alcoholism.  And he clearly has issues with legal ethics, drawing a letter of reprimand from a Republican US Attorney (after an investigation by DOJ’s Office of Professional Responsibility under President Bush) for belittling a pending federal case to the defendants’ attorneys.

Big massive caveat: on Meet the Press, Buck said that there were other reasons why didn’t prosecute the date rape case, although he did not disclose details.  And he probably shouldn’t have.  In many circumstances, you might give the prosecutor the benefit of the doubt.  But the pieces are fitting together, and they do not look good for Ken Buck.

It’s one more reason to help the campaign of Michael Bennet, who is an outstanding Senator in his own right, here.  The Colorado race, written off by the cognoscenti, has now moved firmly into toss-up territory.

It’s also a good reason to watch this commercial:

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October 20th, 2010

As a lifelong hater of the Evil Empire, I’m never inclined to write off the Yankees.  But with the Rangers crushing them for a third time in a row, and taking a commanding lead in the American League Championship Series, the smart money is on Texas.

Over in the National League, things are far more up in the air, but the Giants are in an excellent position, leading the series 2-1.

So if present trends continue, the World Series will be San Francisco v. Texas.  You couldn’t ask for a better political metaphor. 

 Ever since my grandpa told me about dodging trolleys outside Ebbets Field to watch the Brooklyn Robins, and then took me to Oldtimers Day 1972 at Dodger Stadium, when they retired the numbers of Jackie Robinson, Roy Campanella, and Sandy Koufax, I’ve been a confirmed Dodger fan. (Okay — when the Prince of Darkness owned the team for a few years, I switched to the Red Sox, and still like them.  But that’s over with now.).

What’s a Democratic Dodger fan to do?  Texas is impossible, but….the Giants?

Answer: Yes, the Giants.  Actually, the real hatred in today’s Dodger-Giant rivalry only heads one way — south.  San Franciscans hate Los Angeles with an unreal passion: I once asked a Giant fan whom he would root for if it was the Dodgers v. Al Qaeda.  He said he just wouldn’t watch.  Angelenos, on the other hand, think of San Francisco as a pleasant enough little town, good for a romantic weekend or a place to take the kids, maybe a way to get out of the summer heat.  Not really a city, mind you, but a nice enough place.

Go Giants!

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October 20th, 2010

Now that Clarence Thomas’s wife has decided to take time out from her ethically-challenged fundraising to raise the question again, here’s what I regarded at the time as brass-bound proof that Thomas acceded to the Supreme Court only by repeated acts of perjury:

One of the memorable parts of Hill’s testimony was her claim that Thomas harassed her by discussing hard-core porno movies, including one that starred “Long Dong Silver.” Thomas insisted that he’d never even seen such a film. Some Democratic staffer came up with the idea of subpoenaing Thomas’s video-rental records. Either a film starring “Long Dong Silver” would appear on the list, or it wouldn’t. One way or the other, it would have been pretty clear who was telling the truth.

Thomas’s friends on the committee, led by Arlen Specter, raised a terrific fuss about the invasion of Thomas’s privacy, as if the issue were his viewing habits rather than his veracity. Joe Biden folded like a house of cards, and the records were never produced.

When there are two sides to a dispute, each of which knows the content of a piece of evidence, and one side demands that the evidence be produced while the other demands that it not be produced, the inference that the evidence is unfavorable to the latter side is, I think, a very strong one.

Now it’s possible that both Hill and Thomas were lying: perhaps he was a porn-watcher and she knew about it, but in some way that didn’t involve his use of film criticism as a tool of sexual harassment. That would make me think worse of Hill, but not better of Thomas. Perjury is still perjury, and he almost certainly committed it in order to join the court he now disgraces.

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October 19th, 2010

My work with Iraqi and UK colleagues will consume me for the next three or four weeks, so I will leave you all in the more capable hands of the other RBC bloggers until mid-November.
To quote Arthur Lemming: Bye for now, keep your teeth clean.

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October 19th, 2010

Apparently, people who don’t believe in global warming will still conserve energy and promote non-fossil fuels if you give them other (including religious) reasons. My experience in political advocacy over the years tells me that environmentalists will have a mixed reaction to this.

When I was pushing for the first mental health parity law, I worked closely with advocates who did not want the vote of any Congressional Representative unless s/he “admits that mental illness is a disease and not covering it with insurance is discrimination.” They were exasperated with people like me who were satisfied if a member voted for parity because it polled well in their district, or because the insurance companies gave heavily to their primary opponent last cycle, or because they wanted to appease activists in their districts whom they personally considered “crazy”. As long as the Congressional Representative or Senator voted “the right way” I didn’t care why they did so, but I was working alongside dear, respected friends who found such pragmatism morally suspect.

Some environmentalists will be overjoyed at the NY times story on energy conservation without belief in global warming, i.e., at last, a way to reach the unreachable! But another faction will turn up their collective noses and say that energy conservation only “counts if it’s done for the right reasons”, and until they “admit they are wrong and that global warming is real” the Kansas residents profiled in the story are still the enemy.

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October 18th, 2010

Part of me regrets saying more about Jack Conway’s “Aqua Buddha” ad. But  I have to, because what seems to be a huge majority of the Left Blogosphere has grossly, dangerously, missed the point.

The ad is not complicated (transcript after the fold).  It attacks Rand Paul for being an atheist. (The focus on Buddha is a gigantic red herring, and I’m not fishing. I’ve lived in Tennessee, and assuming Kentucky to be roughly similar, I can bet that almost no strongly religious person there would recognize the difference between Buddhism and atheism. If it’s not Christian, it’s godless—with Jewish people getting a sort of honorary get-out-of-Hell-free card, most of the time, out of charity and a bit of confusion.)

Jonathan submits that the ad criticizes Paul not for disbelieving religion but for mocking it. Jonathan is incredibly smart and this is the only gobsmackingly absurd argument I’ve ever heard him make.  But the first time’s a doozy.   Stipulating for argument the possibility that Conway would cut an ad on the theme “Paul’s atheism is just fine, but his irreverence is disqualifying,” this ad isn’t doing that.  If you want proof, look at the repeated word in the upper left-hand corner: “Why?” That Paul’s college club mocked Christianity is not in dispute.  The question “why” can be digging for only one implication: he mocked Christianity—and praised Aqua Buddha and hates faith-based-initiatives—because he’s a non-Christian. The mockery, the implication goes, could be a drunken college prank—but it points towards what’s really sinister: the atheism.

Defenders of the ad (who include, besides Jonathan, digby, Theda Skocpol, and Kos [see below]) say Paul and the Republicans have no cause for complaint because Paul is demonstrably using religion instrumentally and because scores of Republican ads are bigoted, false, or both. I actually agree.  Let’s blaze away, and display very big cojones (or your favorite macho metaphor, since they seem to be mandatory on this one).  Paul and Rove deserve everything they get.

But I don’t.

As an unbeliever in America, I’m used to being a religious minority and I’m not especially aggressive in that role. I don’t insult the religious; I don’t even expect politicians to defend the legitimacy of my beliefs (though it would be nice if they did; it might chip away at the clear majority of Americans who would never vote for a candidate who shared my beliefs or the near-majority who would never want me to marry their daughter).  But I do insist that candidates who belong to my party and ask for my support not gratuitously reinforce bigotry against me, nor attempt to profit from it.  Implying President Obama is a secret Muslim is despicable not because there’s anything wrong with being a Muslim but because the implication profits from the prevailing prejudice that it is wrong, holds greater force the more we can count on that prejudice’s being unshakable,  and slathers an extra coat of implied respectability on the prejudice. And the same is true of implications that somebody is secretly and shamefully a Jew, a quarter Black—or an atheist.

Kos’s defense is particularly pathetic (and again, that’s the first time I’ve said that).  He admits that “the ad attacks Rand Paul for his irreligious beliefs” but then writes:

Personally, I see nothing wrong with it. Voters are less concerned with issues than values when casting their ballots, and for many voters, religion speaks to the candidate’s values. I may not like it, but it’s a democracy, and the notion that the source of a candidate’s values are off-limits is patently absurd.

Sure, that means that as an atheist I would never get elected in Mississippi or Alabama or Kentucky, but so what? No one has a right to electoral office, and in a democracy, you have to sell yourself to the voters. In many places, religion is part of the package.

If we crossed out “atheist” and wrote “Muslim,”  nobody—least of all progressives—would doubt the cowardice and injustice of this surrender to bigotry.  If we wrote “Jew” instead, we would wonder how somebody so self-hating could stand to show his face outside the shtetl. But when it comes to atheism, naked, shameless political prejudice directed against one’s beliefs is not to be denounced.  It’s not to be shrugged off as regrettable but unavoidable. It’s not even  to be quietly disapproved of but tolerated.  It’s to be cheered on: hey, that’s the way to show guts and a sense of democracy.

The projection involved here—and in the hundreds of tub-thumping comments that back Kos up—is breathtaking.  Disapproval of the ad is supposed to show that Democrats are wussy and don’t know how to fight back when punched?  That’s a strange way to put it.  Faced with a calculated, effective slander of his own group as unfit to share political office with real Americans, Kos hasn’t just said “thank you sir, may I have another.” He’s loudly called on every other atheist in the room to do likewise.  Strategy is one name for that, but not the best name.

Jack Conway has been praised for following “the Chicago Way,” for pulling a gun when the other guy pulls a knife.  Again, fine.  I’m not sorry for the guy with the knife.  I’m sorry that to get to that guy Conway casually decided to mow down a few million innocent bystanders—including me.  And I wish that fellow progressives could see the blood.

Read the rest of this entry »

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October 18th, 2010

Washington Democrats and Beltway pundits are attacking me for demanding to know why Rand Paul joined an organization that ridicules Christianity.

“Well, that may be the way they do things in Washington, but not here in Kentucky.  When Rand Paul’s buddies attack Christianity, I’ll call them out on it, no matter what media elites say.

“I’m Jack Conway, and I approved this message.”

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October 18th, 2010

…in Colorado, Rasmussen has GOP nutcase Ken Buck up by only two points on Michael Bennet.  Keep in mind the Rasmussen house effect, which should give Bennet a couple of points, and the most recent (although two week old) PPP poll showing Bennet up by one, and you’ve got a dead heat.

And then keep in mind Buck’s strange equation of gays and alcoholics, and you’ve got an excellent reason to send a little coin Bennet’s way, here.  (Bonus: you can also give to Jack Conway in the same place!).

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