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BERJAYAIt is no secret the Australian Navy is super-sizing their amphibious force.  But…is that force going to be too big and unwieldy to do a good job of projecting security throughout the South Pacific?

The first step towards a super-sized amphibious force is interesting.  Last month, after I urged the Australian Navy to retire their three old, creaky amphibs and experiment, the Australian Navy announced that they were thinking of retiring at least one of their old LSTs to, in turn,  take on a soon-to-be-redundant landing ship from the UK. The vessel, the Largs Bay, is the lead ship of the UK’s 16,000-ton Bay Class Landing Ship Dock (Auxiliary), an evolution of a proven Dutch/Spanish LSD collaboration.

This seems a strong, safe choice–particularly if the ship can be purchased for nothing–However, my first pass at old articles suggests that the initial contract for Largs Bay clocked in at around $160 million pounds, so buying it now for $300 million Australian seems to be a bit high (if my numbers are off, do let me know).  But the ship, commissioned in 2006, is relatively new and ready to operate with Australia’s brace of heavy-lift Chinooks (giving the platform the flexibility to accept the U.S. Marine Corps’ MV-22 as well).  As a candidate for a hot transfer, the Largs Bay is positioned to fit seamlessly into the Australian Navy.

In terms of “load” on the Australian Navy, Australia’s three legacy amphibs require a crew of about 625.  The two big Canberra Class mini-carriers that are set to come on line over the next few years will have a primary crew of about 560, so a Bay Class platform, with a base crew of about sixty, makes, again, a simple fit.

The Largs Bay makes a safe, stout, conventional choice.

But the Largs Bay is not perfect. To be blunt about it, the Largs Bay is being pitched as a support vessel for the big Canberra Class mini-carriers.  That’s all–and, well, that means the operational basis for selecting the Bay Class is wrong-headed.  Don’t take my word for it–Here’s the Aussie 2009 Defence White Paper (.pdf):

The Government has decided to enhance this amphibious capability by acquiring a large strategic sealift ship to move stores, equipment and personnel. Based on a proven design, the new ship will have a displacement of 10,000 – 15,000 tonnes, with landing spots for a number of helicopters and an ability to land vehicles and other cargo without requiring port infrastructure. The new ship will provide ongoing sustainment support for deployed forces, allowing the LHD ships to remain in areas of operations in direct support of the land force ashore.

Small-to-mid-sized amphibs are meant to be used for lesser contingencies–not seconded to the two flatdecks.

Second, Australia is underestimating future demand for smaller amphibious platforms.  One is not enough.  Over the coming years–after the two Canberras enter service by around 2015–there will be, quite simply, too few “mid-sized” amphibious platforms readily available in Australia to fully address the ever-expanding (and ever-more complex) array of complex South Sea security threats.

Sending a Canberra platform to help squelch every outbreak of political upheaval is far too costly for such missions.  Not only is the Canberra Class an over-match for most peace-keeping missions in the South Seas, no Canberra Class vessel will travel anywhere alone, ever.

Ginning up a task force for a dash deployment costs an enormous amount of money.  And it can’t be done quickly, either.

What Australia really needs is some sort of fast-moving, small-force insertion “utility” trucks–ships that can get from one place to another rather quickly.  Platforms that can be used to deploy police forces or other support personnel in low-threat environments–civil disruptions, disasters and the like.  Keep the Canberra Class vessels for the big “out of area” stuff.

That’s why I keep hitting at the available Austal trimaran–not only is it available, but the platform, after some modest modifications, may prove to be a perfect low-risk platform for the civil-support activities Australia often undertakes in the South Pacific.  But Australia must take the chance it has now, today, to test things.

What we do know is that mobilizing a Canberra task group will take time.  We also know a penny-ante ex-ferry can be dispatched immediately, move into the area quickly, and hold/stabilize the place while the Canberras are still dickering with port agents over the manifest.

What Australia needs is, in a way, already spelled out in the 2009 Defence White Paper, rooted in the description of their now-canceled landing craft project.  Again, the White Paper:

The Government will also introduce six new heavy landing craft with improved ocean-going capabilities, able to transport armoured vehicles, trucks, stores and people in intra-theatre lift tasks to augment the larger amphibious vessels.

Australia still needs intra-theatre lift.  The country will face a critical shortfall once the final two old legacy amphibs are retired.  So, now is the time to experiment!

With no immediate threats on the horizon, Australia should follow the strong path–obtain the Largs Bay while simultaneously recruiting some innovative “alternative” platforms that can take up the job of theatre lift in the South Pacific.  The simple thing to do there would be to retire the other two old amphibs early, obtain the Austal trimaran, minimally modify it, and then see if it might be right for the uncertain seas to come.

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BERJAYAAs Egypt implodes, the incredible diplomatic resiliency of the Cairo-based U.S. Navy Medical Research Unit Number 3 (NAMRU-3), deserves another look. With the U.S. government scrambling to control the diplomatic damage in Egypt–and as the U.S. Embassy’s traditional friends in the cozy upper-echelon of Egyptian society pack up and leave–this Navy facility will still be working, its social network almost entirely intact.

Properly done, NAMRUs become respected national institutions in their host country–an important nexus of training and opportunity for the local medical community.

Established in 1946, NAMRU 3 has operated continuously–through revolutions, wars, and social disturbances.  Even back in 1967, during the Egyptian-Israeli Conflict, the NAMRU was still up and running.  It was remarkable, because, at that time, all the Americans had been evacuated via ship, diplomatic relations had been severed, and yet, the Egyptian government allowed the NAMRU to keep functioning.

In the midst of this frosty diplomatic interlude, the newly-appointed NAMRU-3 leader, CAPT Donald Kent, picked up and went to his post–from a May-June 2008 Issue of Navy Medicine (no link):

“We arrived in Cairo late afternoon and remained in the waiting area since we had no entry visas. We were able to get word to Abdel Azis Saleh, the Egyptian administrative assistant to the commanding officer, that we were at the airport. Through his connections with the Egyptian Foreign Office he was able to get us one-time entry visas. And so we were back in Cairo.”

Where he found:

“The Egyptian staff had taken wonderful care of our Navy property, which included substantial and expensive research equipment. Even more gratifying was the wonderful news that our Egyptian research staff had carried on with a number of ongoing projects. Mountains of data, reference materials, and a research library were completely intact. Manuscripts were continuing to be prepared.”

We forget–in the era of email and overnight delivery–how difficult a research laboratory was to operate. What the Egyptians did–it wasn’t just work. It was devotion.

Does any other naval facility boast such a history? NAMRUs are, when well run, a constant presence, offering the Navy an entree into their host medical communities–professionals who are, largely, granted an enormous amount of respect by the communities they serve. Naval personnel could do a lot worse than being seen, day-in and day-out, working alongside such people.

It’s easy to forget–and subsequently defund–these low-profile facilities. But NAMRUs are one of the few remaining places where official U.S. government personnel can make direct connections at an intimate community level–connections that are invaluable during disasters, disturbances or other upheaval.

So as Egypt crumbles–and NAMRU-3 keeps operating–Washington should take a moment to consider building and staffing far more of these valuable–albeit wildly underfunded–facilities.

(Modified from original July 2008 post, here.)

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Did RAND force the “Green Fleet” out of the State of the Union Address?

January 27, 2011

With all the excitement over the East Coast snowstorm, the President’s State of the Union and AFCEA’s WEST 2011, Navy-types may have missed an interesting bit of DC bureaucratic theater–RAND’s preemptive strike at the DOD’s aggressive adoption/promotion of renewable energy–in a report released early in the week. I strongly suspect the perfectly-timed media coverage of [...]

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Show, don’t tell: Circumspection over Virginia Class MIP/SHT woes

January 21, 2011

Daily Press reporter Peter Frost broke the news yesterday that the Navy has put the Virginia-class submarines’ sloughing hull-coating problem “behind” them.  Here’s parts of the interview (full story here): “Clearly we had problems on the early ships,” said Vice Adm. Kevin M. McCoy, commander of Naval Sea Systems Command, the Navy’s ship-buying and maintenance [...]

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In Press: Talking carriers and INSURVs with the San Diego Union-Tribune

January 20, 2011

Jeanette Steele, one of the better national security reporters working today, chatted with me about the USS Ronald Reagan (CVN-76), which will, in 2012, be headed off for a year’s maintenance in far-off Washington State. The story is here. This was big news for the San Diego region, which was all excited about being the [...]

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In Press: Talking tankers with the Mobile Press-Register

January 17, 2011

Had a nice chat about the T-AO(X) program with the Mobile Press-Register’s Jeff Amy last week, and the story dropped yesterday.  Read it here. It’s a good article–making the best of a tough editorial assignment.  Basically, the reporter was put to work assembling this story because some Gulf Coast folks hope that the money saved [...]

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Australia’s Amphibs: Retire the old stuff and experiment!

January 14, 2011

Australia has three creaky old amphibious vessels, the HMAS Tobruk, HMAS Kanimbla and HMAS Manoora.  They are scheduled to retire over the next 8 years to be replaced in 2014-15 by the Canberra Class LHDs. Australia’s legacy amphibs are, at this point,  feeble, unreliable platforms.  They’ve done yeoman service, but, in September,  the Kanimbla an [...]

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CNO Admiral Roughead: An unsung healer of the civil-military divide

January 12, 2011

We can point to the heartfelt speech CJCS Admiral Mullen just gave on military professionalism and the civil-military divide, and come away worried.  Or, we can look at what CNO Admiral Roughead is doing over at Navy and feel a lot better about how things are going.  As far as the civil-military divide goes, the [...]

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French arms for sale: Reckless opportunism or glue for a future NATO?

January 10, 2011

Back in 2008, In NDIA’s National Defense Magazine, I called for the purchase of the Mistral-class “projection and command” ships, noting that the acquisition of the vessels would be an ideal mix of capability and geopolitical utility.  In what was a sidebar discussion of next-generation hospital ships, Jim Dolbow and I snuck in some geopolitical [...]

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A national security meme to end: China and territorial expansion

January 5, 2011

The Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University came out with a fantastic, information-packed study entitled “China’s out of area naval operations: Case studies, trajectories, obstacles and potential solutions” (ChinaStrategicPerspectives3). There is a lot of good, solid research here, and I commend the authors. It’s great, and my comments (those that follow [...]

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