Oct 11 2010
Senator Snow Trails Challenger by 16
Raleigh, N.C. – According to a new SurveyUSA poll released today by the Civitas Institute, Republican candidate Jim Davis has increased his lead to 16 percent over Democratic incumbent Sen. John Snow, who is looking to maintain his seat in state Senate District 50.
According to the poll of 350 registered voters in that district, 53 percent said they would vote for Davis if the election for state senator were held today, a 9 percent increase since May. Thirty-seven percent of voters said they would vote for Snow, and 9 percent said they are undecided.
Davis’ lead slightly increases to 55 percent-36 percent when looking at those who said they are most likely voting in 2010. He currently has the support of both Republican (83 percent-9 percent) and unaffiliated (59 percent-23 percent) voters in the district. Democratic voters are backing Snow by a 72 percent-23 percent margin.
“Davis has greatly increased his lead over Snow since May when the two were virtually tied, and continues to garner more support from Republican and unaffiliated voters who are abandoning the Democratic party this election season,” said Civitas Institute Senior Legislative Analyst Chris Hayes.
If this poll is accurate then John Snow is toast. There is no possible way for him to come back from a 16 point deficit three weeks out from the election. This has been a highly targeted seat by the Republicans as it is a Republican district and one they need to capture in order to take control of the State Senate.
The 50th Senate District covers the far southwest portion of North Carolina in the Appalachian Mountains.
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