FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: Kevin Hill hill@dubymcdowell.com 860.869.7239 MURPHY IN TROUBLE Republican challenger Caligiuri ahead

Republican challenger Sam Caligiuri according to the CT Capitol Report Poll released Rep. Murphy, the Democratic incumbent in Connecticut’s 5th congressional The poll, commissioned by CT Capitol Report and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 481 likely voters on October 3-5, 2010 with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. 6.0 percent of those surveyed are still unsure of who they will support in the race. “Chris Murphy appears to be facing an uphill fight to keep his seat,” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “He is behind opponent Sam Caligiuri just outside the margin of error, with Caligiuri pushing the 50 percent threshold in our survey. While the race is obviously competitive, it is often difficult for an incumbent to come back after falling behind a challenger in the last month. “The fifth district is shaping up to be the most Republican leaning district in Connecticut this year. It is the strongest district for both Tom Foley and Linda McMahon and is also the district least likely to have a positive opinion of President Obama, by a 43district, has 44.3 percent to Republican challenger Sam Caligiuri’s 49.7 percent.

53 margin. Murphy certainly knows how to win this district, but the national mood and the top of the ticket may be too much to overcome.” A poll on Connecticut’s 1st and 4th congressional districts will be released tomorrow.

About CTCapitolReport.com CT Capitol Report is published and edited by veteran political professional Tom Dudchik. Since its launch in 2009 its readership has grown exponentially and it is widely considered the most comprehensive website for Connecticut political news. About Merriman River Group With offices in Hamden, CT and Los Angeles, CA, Merriman River Group is a full service consulting organization specializing in election supervision and administration, public opinion research, and communication services. In 2010, Merriman River Group launched their NexGen IVR polling system, which offers professional grade polling and analysis with reduced costs and faster completion time. NexGen IVR has been used in public and private polling from New England to Hawaii this year, with accuracy far exceeding traditional polling methods. For more information on Merriman River Group, please visit www.merrimanriver.com.

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CT 5th Congressional District
Margin of Error = 4.5%
Frequency Valid Congress:Caligiuri Congress:Murphy Congress:Unsure Total 239 213 29 481 Percent 49.7 44.3 6.0 100.0

Congress * Gender Crosstabulation Gender Gender:Not Gender:female Congress Congress:Caligiuri Count % within Gender Congress:Murphy Count % within Gender Congress:Unsure Count % within Gender Total Count % within Gender 127 46.9% 123 45.4% 21 7.7% 271 100.0% Gender:male 109 54.5% 85 42.5% 6 3.0% 200 100.0% Reported 3 30.0% 5 50.0% 2 20.0% 10 100.0% Total 239 49.7% 213 44.3% 29 6.0% 481 100.0%

Gender * Congress Crosstabulation Congress Congress:Caligiu Congress:Murph Congress:Unsur ri Gender Gender:female Count % within Congress Gender:male Count % within Congress Gender:Not Reported Count % within Congress Total Count % within Congress 127 53.1% 109 45.6% 3 1.3% 239 100.0% y 123 57.7% 85 39.9% 5 2.3% 213 100.0% e 21 72.4% 6 20.7% 2 6.9% 29 100.0% Total 271 56.3% 200 41.6% 10 2.1% 481 100.0%

Congress * Party Crosstabulation Party 3. 1. 2. Party:Independe nt 83 54.6% 61 40.1% 8 5.3% 152 100.0% 9. Party:Unsure 3 33.3% 4 44.4% 2 22.2% 9 100.0% 99. Party:Not Reported 10 30.3% 18 54.5% 5 15.2% 33 100.0% Party:Democrat Party:Republican Congress Congress:Caligiuri Count % within Party Congress:Murphy Count % within Party Congress:Unsure Count % within Party Total Count % within Party 32 20.1% 120 75.5% 7 4.4% 159 100.0% 111 86.7% 10 7.8% 7 5.5% 128 100.0%

Congress * Tea Party Crosstabulation Tea Party 9. 1. TeaParty:Yes Congress Congress:Caligiuri Count % within Tea Party Congress:Murphy Count % within Tea Party Congress:Unsure Count % within Tea Party Total Count % within Tea Party 88 90.7% 8 8.2% 1 1.0% 97 100.0% 2. TeaParty:No TeaParty:Unsure 112 37.1% 176 58.3% 14 4.6% 302 100.0% 30 58.8% 12 23.5% 9 17.6% 51 100.0% 99.TeaParty:Not Reported 9 29.0% 17 54.8% 5 16.1% 31 100.0% Total 239 49.7% 213 44.3% 29 6.0% 481 100.0%

Congress * Obama Crosstabulation Obama 1. strongly Congress:Caligiuri Count % within Obama Congress:Murphy Count % within Obama Congress:Unsure Count % within Obama Count % within Obama 9 6.6% 124 91.2% 3 2.2% 136 100.0% 2. somewhat 15 20.8% 51 70.8% 6 8.3% 72 100.0% 3. ve somewhat 26 45.6% 25 43.9% 6 10.5% 57 100.0% 4. 9. Obama:Unsure 1 7.7% 4 30.8% 8 61.5% 13 100.0% ve strongly 188 92.6% 9 4.4% 6 3.0% 203 100.0%

Obama:Approve Obama:Approve Obama:Disappro Obama:Disappro

Total

ngress

49.

44.

6.

al

100.

Congress * Obama_Short Crosstabulation Obama_Short Obama:Disapprov Obama:Approve Congress:Caligiuri Count % within Obama_Short Congress:Murphy Count % within Obama_Short Congress:Unsure Count % within Obama_Short Count % within Obama_Short 24 11.5% 175 84.1% 9 4.3% 208 100.0% e 214 82.3% 34 13.1% 12 4.6% 260 100.0% Obama:Unsure 1 7.7% 4 30.8% 8 61.5% 13 100.0% Total 239 49.7% 213 44.3% 29 6.0% 481 100.0%

ngress

al

Obama * Congress Crosstabulation Congress Congress:Caligiu Congress:Murph Congress:Unsur ri Obama 1. Obama:Approve strongly Count % within Congress 2. Obama:Approve somewhat 3. Obama:Disapprove somewhat 4. Obama:Disapprove strongly 9. Obama:Unsure Count % within Congress Count % within Congress Count % within Congress Count % within Congress Total Count % within Congress 9 3.8% 15 6.3% 26 10.9% 188 78.7% 1 .4% 239 100.0% y 124 58.2% 51 23.9% 25 11.7% 9 4.2% 4 1.9% 213 100.0% e 3 10.3% 6 20.7% 6 20.7% 6 20.7% 8 27.6% 29 100.0% Total 136 28.3% 72 15.0% 57 11.9% 203 42.2% 13 2.7% 481 100.0%

Obama_Short * Congress Crosstabulation Congress Congress:Caligiu Congress:Murph Congress:Unsur ri Obama_Short Obama:Approve Count % within Congress Obama:Disapprove Count % within Congress Obama:Unsure Count % within Congress Total Count % within Congress 24 10.0% 214 89.5% 1 .4% 239 100.0% y 175 82.2% 34 16.0% 4 1.9% 213 100.0% e 9 31.0% 12 41.4% 8 27.6% 29 100.0% Total 208 43.2% 260 54.1% 13 2.7% 481 100.0%