| Obama Job Approval | 2010 Generic Ballot | |
National Trends: Obama Job Approval, Party ID, National House Ballot, and more
Poll Updates
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- NH: 2010 GOP Primary (Magellan 9/3)
- US: Obama, Iraq (CNN 9/1-2)
- ID: 52% Otter 36% Allred (Rasmussen 8/31)
- IL: 34% Giannoulias, 34% Kirk (Tribune 8/28-9/1)
- KY 43% Paul, 37% Conway (Braun 8/30-9/1)
- NV: 50% Reid, 47% Angle (Rasmussen 9/1)
- MA: 44% Patrick, 42% Baker, 8% Cahill (Rasmussen 9/1)
- CA: 48% Fiorina, 46% Boxer (SurveyUSA 8/31-9/1)
- AK: 53% Parnell, 43% Berkowitz (Rasmussen 8/31)
- TX: 50% Perry, 38% White (WRS/GOPAC 8/29-31)
- AK: 55% Parnell, 37% Berkowitz (PPP 8/27-28)
- FL: 35% Crist, 34% Rubio, 17% Meek (Crist 8/28-31)
- OH: 45% Portman, 38% Fisher (PPP 8/27-29)
- US: National Survey (YouGov 8/28-31)
- FL: 48% Sink, 47% Scott (Rasmussen 9/1)
- WA: 50% Rossi (R), 47% Murray (D) (Rasmussen 8/31)
- NY: 2010 Primaries (Quinnipiac 8/23-31)
- PA: 53% Corbett (R), 39% Onorato (D) (Rasmussen 7/30)
Articles and Analysis
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- Converting Gallup's Generic Ballot to Seats
Harry Enten
On Saturday, political scientists at the American Political Science Association conference in Washington, D.C. will debut their models for predicting results in the House of Representatives. In this article, I put forth my own model that translates Gallup's final generic...Read more - Texting Teens 'Outliers'
- The tactical fallacy
- Underestimating the Gallup likely voter edge?
- Which Michael Brown? 'Outliers'
- Newsweek Poll 'Cooked?' Please
- Gallup vs. Newsweek on the Generic
- Where's Tufte 'Outliers'
- Your Grandma On Facebook 'Outliers'
- Bafumi, Erikson, and Wlezien: A Forecast of the 2010 House Election Outcome
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